Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009993 0.011952 0.014360 0.017596 0.021924 0.027660 0.036097
2025-05-04 0.007492 0.009721 0.012807 0.017588 0.025209 0.037723 0.062049
2025-05-11 0.006167 0.008419 0.011787 0.017540 0.027981 0.048401 0.099910
2025-05-18 0.005215 0.007372 0.010777 0.017023 0.029558 0.057939 0.149656
2025-05-25 0.004458 0.006457 0.009737 0.016077 0.029821 0.064901 0.207318
2025-06-01 0.003922 0.005800 0.008982 0.015425 0.030400 0.073289 0.296100
2025-06-08 0.003637 0.005506 0.008795 0.015823 0.033618 0.092851 0.540309
2025-06-15 0.003329 0.005126 0.008378 0.015618 0.035226 0.109273 0.925349
2025-06-22 0.002991 0.004654 0.007715 0.014704 0.034460 0.115651 1.320924
2025-06-29 0.002810 0.004440 0.007518 0.014824 0.036908 0.141314 2.992850
2025-07-06 0.002694 0.004331 0.007512 0.015406 0.041254 0.187560 13.018014
2025-07-13 0.002637 0.004324 0.007712 0.016574 0.048605 0.280642 2598.822336
2025-07-20 0.002518 0.004202 0.007687 0.017264 0.055385 0.418280 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002358 0.003985 0.007428 0.017237 0.059300 0.567391 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002216 0.003789 0.007184 0.017189 0.063287 0.784266 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002065 0.003559 0.006827 0.016686 0.064506 0.983396 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001908 0.003302 0.006375 0.015766 0.062640 1.082706 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001782 0.003099 0.006030 0.015131 0.062210 1.271975 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001719 0.003024 0.005986 0.015518 0.069106 2.212400 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001633 0.002894 0.005790 0.015319 0.071821 3.241762 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001525 0.002706 0.005427 0.014429 0.068492 3.385775 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001469 0.002628 0.005338 0.014545 0.073650 6.246020 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001435 0.002595 0.005363 0.015113 0.083891 20.573237 NaN